Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.879800 1.078840 1.291666 1.534141 1.800828 2.083462 2.403942
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.653539 0.930042 1.248584 1.634046 2.080054 2.573083 3.152812
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.510319 0.817752 1.192442 1.665184 2.230423 2.871566 3.641606
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.392264 0.713482 1.128034 1.672141 2.342133 3.119144 4.069011
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.282176 0.595912 1.027508 1.617648 2.365673 3.251617 4.352428
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.198536 0.497365 0.937631 1.564584 2.381278 3.367247 4.610158
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.140846 0.424318 0.871823 1.533645 2.416911 3.500934 4.884116
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.109591 0.388447 0.854426 1.563871 2.527774 3.724825 5.265352
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081018 0.348932 0.826000 1.574747 2.610602 3.912137 5.601150
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052598 0.298206 0.772836 1.545279 2.636321 4.025285 5.844424
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046123 0.298130 0.802982 1.637057 2.825031 4.345257 6.343488
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.040059 0.297011 0.830502 1.724677 3.008307 4.658906 6.835754
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034104 0.296552 0.863219 1.827560 3.223274 5.026955 7.413822
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028286 0.294279 0.892752 1.927027 3.436177 5.396039 7.998267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018994 0.272899 0.883835 1.965127 3.562439 5.652082 8.440439
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010386 0.243742 0.856068 1.971393 3.642902 5.848186 8.807569
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002934 0.199225 0.790152 1.911947 3.627098 5.916131 9.011357
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.160513 0.728077 1.853337 3.608648 5.977846 9.205130
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.132570 0.683414 1.819287 3.622228 6.079108 9.446522
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.121866 0.678483 1.852590 3.734426 6.312363 9.857604
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.107871 0.662232 1.864582 3.814224 6.501727 10.212268
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.087315 0.622716 1.832101 3.825586 6.597392 10.445183
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.091391 0.655909 1.933178 4.039937 6.970244 11.038934